
NATIONAL SURVEY:
Large Capital Gains Distributions in a Year of Negative
Returns Has Mutual Fund Investors More Concerned About Investment Taxes
Shareholders Remain Bullish in Their Investment Outlook
Popularity of Index Funds Drops Significantly
(February 13, 2001) BOSTON- - Stung by large capital gains distributions in
a year of negative investment returns, mutual fund shareholders increasingly
consider taxes to be an important investment consideration, according to the
results of an annual survey of investors released today by Eaton Vance Corp.
The nation-wide survey of investors, conducted by Penn, Schoen and Berland
Associates, indicates that an overwhelming majority of investors (84%)
considers the impact of taxes on their stock mutual funds to be an important
consideration when making investment decisions. Nearly 60% (58%) of
investors say that the impact of taxes on their investment returns has
increased in importance over the past year.
"Investors who had been less aware of mutual fund taxes had a rude awakening
in 2000, when many funds had low or negative returns but still paid out
large taxable distributions," observed Duncan W. Richardson, senior vice
president of Eaton Vance and portfolio manager of The Eaton Vance
Tax-Managed Growth Fund. "The combination of strong built-up gains carried
over from prior years, high portfolio turnover in a volatile market and an
insensitivity to tax considerations on the part of most fund managers
created a "Perfect Storm" that dumped large capital gains distributions on
many unsuspecting shareholders. Many shareholders who in the past might have
been dismissive about fund taxes were horrified to learn they will be paying
taxes on fund investments on which they lost money last year."
Consistent with the growing concern regarding fund taxes, 82% of investors
consider disclosure by mutual fund organizations of the tax implications of
fund investing to be important. Nearly nine in ten (85%) investors say they
carefully examine their investment statements to determine the degree to
which taxes affect their returns and three out of five investors (60%)
believe the U.S. government should require mutual fund providers to state
after-tax returns for stock mutual funds, supporting the objective of the
Securities and Exchange Commission1s new after-tax return disclosure
requirement. Although the new SEC rule requiring disclosure of after-tax
returns was finalized only last month and does not fully go into effect
until the first quarter of 2002, 30% of investors are already aware of this
coming requirement for all long-term mutual funds.
While Investment Taxes May Be Considered Important, Understanding all of the
Subject is Still Low
Although most investors recognize the importance of tax considerations, they
have only a limited understanding of investment-related tax issues. One in
four investors (25%) do not know their current federal income tax bracket.
One in four investors (26%) are unfamiliar with the concept of
"tax-efficient" investing, and one in three investors (33%) are unable to
cite any investments that offer high tax efficiency.
When asked whether they would be more inclined to hold municipal bonds and
municipal bond funds in a qualified retirement plan such as an IRA or 401(K)
plan or outside such a plan, survey respondents were equally likely to say
they would hold such investments within a qualified plan (39%) as outside a
qualified plan (40%.) Similar questions addressing investments in variable
annuities and tax-managed stock funds received similar responses. Survey
respondents were equally likely to favor use of variable annuities within a
qualified plan (39%) versus outside a qualified plan (40%), and only
somewhat more in favor of using tax-managed stock funds outside of a
qualified plan (49%) versus inside a qualified plan (38%).
"In reality, each of these tax-free or tax-deferred investments is
particularly well suited to being held outside of a qualified retirement
plan," commented Thomas E. Faust Jr., executive vice president and chief
equity investment officer at Eaton Vance. "Investors should utilize within
their qualified retirement plans investments that would otherwise be subject
to current tax on income and realized gains. It is clear from the survey
results that only a minority of American investors are sophisticated enough
in their understanding of investment taxes to make intelligent choices about
how best to hold assets of different character."
Although the state of investors' understanding of tax issues remains
discouraging, the situation has improved in the past year. Compared to last
year's survey, nearly twice as many respondents (23% vs. 12%) correctly
associated tax efficiency with minimizing the difference between returns
before and after taxes. Also in the past year, investors' familiarity with
tax-managed mutual funds that have an objective of after-tax returns
increased substantially. In this year's survey, 35% of respondents said they
were familiar with tax-managed funds, versus only 20% who were familiar with
this investment product a year ago. Also nearly double last year1s results,
27% said they understand the difference between tax-efficient funds that are
managed passively versus actively, up from 15% last year.
"Former SEC Chairman Arthur Levitt has identified taxes as the single
largest expense associated with mutual fund investing, reducing the average
stock fund's returns by more than 2.5% per year," commented Mr. Faust. "We
are encouraged that investors are taking increased notice of tax-managed
funds that are designed to minimize the tax bite and managed toward a goal
of after-tax returns."
Recognizing the importance of tax considerations and
their lack of understanding in this area, many investors turn to
professional advisors or financial consultants for assistance. In this
year's survey, fully 70% of respondents said they use a broker or financial
advisor for help with investing, and 22% of those who have previously
invested strictly on their own indicate that they are very likely (10%) or
somewhat likely (12%) to use a financial professional in the next year. Of
investors who use a broker or financial advisor, 72% say they discuss the
tax implications of their investments to at least a limited extent.
Financial advisors have a key role to play in educating investors about tax
considerations and ensuring that they hold appropriate investments in their
taxable and non-taxable investment accounts.
Investors are Long-Term Focused, Mostly Bullish About the Stock Market for
2001.
Nine in 10 investors (90%) say they have solely a long-term investment focus
(55%) or an investment focus that is more long-term than short-term (35%).
"We are encouraged again by the stated long-term horizon expressed by
investors in this year1s survey. We feel a long-term perspective is
necessary to maximize the potential for equity investors to accumulate
wealth," said Mr. Faust. "Too often people who should be investors act like
traders, exposing themselves unnecessarily to the dual drags on performance
from trading costs and capital gains taxes."
Recent volatility in equity markets prompted only 15% of surveyed investors
to change the amount they have invested in mutual funds, with 36% of those
making changes increasing their investments and 59% decreasing their
investments. Only 11% of investors reallocated their investments in bonds
for this reason. While more than half (54%) of surveyed investors said they
have less appetite for risk going forward given recent stock market
developments, 22% of those surveyed now have a greater appetite for risk and
18% the same amount of appetite for risk (6% are unsure).
When asked how they deal with a loss in a stock or mutual fund, 43% of
survey respondents said they typically do nothing; 18% said they tend to buy
more since the investment is cheaper; and 17% indicated they tend to do
nothing immediately but typically would sell the investment when it gets
back to the break-even point. Only 16% of survey respondents said they would
tend to sell the investment right away to capture the tax value of the loss.
"The loss aversion seen in the study is consistent with the behavioral
finance analysis done by Professors Terrance Odean of the Graduate School of
Management at the University of California, Davis and Richard Thaler at the
University of Chicago Graduate School of Business," said Mr. Richardson.
"Their work suggests that investment behavior is influenced by natural human
tendencies which cause investors to overtrade and to not admit mistakes.
Unfortunately these traits often frustrate achieving higher after-tax
returns."
In their outlook for the market over the next year, investors are
more bullish (57%) than bearish (30%). Nearly two-thirds of surveyed
investors (62%) think the return of the S&P 500 index will be positive in
2001. Among these investors, more than half (61%) think the return will
exceed 6% in 2001, and 22% think the return will exceed 10%. More than half
of surveyed investors (52%) think the return of the NASDAQ Composite Index
will be positive in 2001. Among these investors, nearly half (46%) think the
return will exceed 10%. Nearly 60% of investors do not think the U.S. will
experience a recession in 2001; 34% think there will be a recession and 7%
are uncertain.
When asked what they think might be the biggest surprise for investors in
2001, a strong market rebound was mentioned by the highest number of those
surveyed (17%). Tying for second at 4% each were: a good economy without
recession; rebounding of technology stocks; further downturn in the market;
and President Bush1s tax plan being passed.
41% of surveyed investors identify themselves as "momentum" investors and
28% consider themselves "contrarian" investors, with the remainder not
having a specific style or not knowing how to identify their style.
Investors are Split Over Technology Stocks for the Coming Year but Most Feel
They are a Good Longer-Term Investment / Most Investors Have Not Reduced
Their Exposure to Technology Stocks
Investors are of two minds when it comes to the expected performance of
technology stocks for the current year, but most believe they will rebound
within the next three years and represent a good longer-term investment.
One in five surveyed investors (21%) predicts technology will be the best
performing investment area or industry sector in 2001, but nearly twice as
many (38%) think technology will be the worst performing sector for the
year. Energy (8%) and pharmaceuticals (8%) were tied for second best bets.
Automotive (5%) and utilities (5%) were tied for second worst groups to
invest in.
"When asked about different market sectors, the investment area that
elicited by far the strongest sentiment for better or worse was
technology," observed Mr. Richardson. "Love or hate the sector in the
short-term, it is clearly one that the public feels will continue to be a
major market force to be reckoned with."
One in three surveyed investors (33%) said that technology stocks will be a
good investment and 43% said they will be a fair investment in 2001. One in
five investors (20%) said technology stocks will be a poor investment this
year. More than six in 10 investors (61%) said that technology stocks will
be a good investment over the next three years and 30% said they will be a
fair investment over this time period. Only 6% of investors said technology
stocks will be a poor investment over the next three years.
Investors' attitudes toward technology stocks reflect their long-term
optimism about investing and the stock market. Many investors who have
expressed concerns about the outlook for technology stocks have not taken
action to reduce their exposure to the sector. More investors (31%) have
increased their exposure to technology stocks over the past 12 months than
have decreased their exposure (24%). The largest group-38% of investors-
made no change.
Popularity of Index Fund Investing May Be Peaking
One of the most popular investment products of the 1990s-passively managed
index funds that mimic the movements of major market indices-may have
reached a peak in their popularity. When asked whether they will be more
likely or less likely to invest in index funds in the next couple of years,
a majority of survey respondents (51%) said they are less likely to do so
(29% more likely; 20% the same or no response). Among investors who said
they were less likely to purchase index funds, the most commonly cited
reason (31%) was higher market volatility.
"Data from the survey supports Eaton Vance1s view that we are past the peak
of popularity for passive investing," commented Mr. Richardson. "The year
2000 partially exposed the fatal flaw of indexing-the fact that indices are
constructed without applying any valuation discipline or investment
judgment. In the results of 2000, investors experienced the risks of this
approach and are now beginning to vote with their feet."
The survey revealed that investors have a poor understanding of how major
stock market indices are constructed. When asked what criteria are most
important to Standard & Poor's in selecting stocks for its indices, nearly
half of all surveyed investors (44%) said, incorrectly, that stocks are
selected on the basis of their investment merits or the attractiveness of
their valuations. Only 24% of surveyed investors correctly identified the
primary basis for inclusion in an S&P index, which is that adding the
company to the index would make the index more representative of the U.S.
economy.
This study represents a detailed portrait of American investors' attitudes
and practices, specifically with reference to the tax implications of
investing. The study was conducted by Penn, Schoen & Berland Associates,
Inc. for Eaton Vance Corp. in February 2001. The study was based on a
comprehensive, nationally representative telephone survey of 500 U.S.
residents who have invested in both qualified retirement plans and
investments outside of qualified retirement plans (stock mutual funds, bond
mutual funds, individual stocks, individual bonds, variable annuities or
money market funds). The median annual income of survey respondents was
$100,000. The margin of error for the study was +/- 4.4% at the 95%
confidence level.
Penn, Schoen & Berland Associates, Inc. (PSB) is a Washington DC-based
full-service strategic polling and market research firm whose clients have
included numerous senators, congressmen, other national and international
political leaders, over 20 Fortune 100 companies and numerous trade
associations.
Eaton Vance Corp., a Boston-based investment management firm, is traded on
the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol EV.
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